Monday, April 16, 2012

The chief expert of epidemiology of Center for Disease Prevention and Control of China: " first flows " Second wave of epidemic situations has already come

The chief expert of epidemiology of Center for Disease Prevention and Control of China: " first flows " Second wave of epidemic situations has already come
Staff reporter Zheng dexterous Recently, " the nail flows " in our country The assembling has illness coming on and presents continuously. The present correctly one " First flows " How on earth to see the epidemic situation? On September 8, chief expert's once mere researcher called epidemiology of Center for Disease Prevention and Control of China when being interviewed by reporter, outwardly, the epidemic situation mainly takes place in the school; But in fact, recent epidemic situation and epidemic situation of last stage have already differed widely. We can say, " first flows " The second wave of epidemic situations has already come. Zeng Guang says, " first flowed " recently A great deal of new characteristics appear in the epidemic situation. First, the epidemic situation is distributed changing. For the first period mainly distributed in the big city, is distributed in the small and medium-sized cities in a large amount now, and appear in the western region in succession. Xinjiang, Ningxia, Qinghai and Tibet first report make a definite diagnosis of the case with the 5th, the 6th of September, our country 31 provinces more ' District, city) Already all reports have made a definite diagnosis of the case. Second, the related crowd of the epidemic situation is more extensive. Present gathering had illness coming on not only appeared in the primary school, middle school, but also the university took certain proportion. Third, the epidemic situation of last stage mainly in order to input the venereal disease example, and already varied to and relied mainly on infecting the case within the border recently. From 15 on September 4 to 15 on September 7, " first flows " in the newly-increased hinterland of our country Make a definite diagnosis of 1177 cases, among them 1160 are in order to infect the case within the border, input only 17 venereal disease examples outside the border. It is mostly floating population to infect cases within the border, infect and mainly take place in the course of taking train, car, steamer, plane. Fourth, report the case increases greatly. Recently, it is equivalent to the quantity of the report of last week, a ten days that the case reported in one day in the whole country is counted. In several months, " first flows " to have something to do both at home and abroad Virus aetiology is monitored and has not found the virus has great variation. Why will epidemic situation appear in so many places suddenly? Zeng Guang says, do not only wait until " first flows " The virus will present second waves of epidemic situations after morphing. " first flows " Virus is a mutant virus, and even the same virus, there is different manifestation too in different seasons. With entering the climatic condition after autumn suitably, " first flows " It is a kind of inexorable trend that the onset increases. Moreover, " first flowed " in the last period Epidemic situation " Gentle" Behave, consciousness has adverse effects for improving the precaution, especially the small and medium-sized cities that have not or seldom presented the epidemic situation may lack enough epidemic prevention to prepare. After the case takes place, can't find and control, spread after leading to the epidemic situation in time. Since entering September, Shanghai, Zhejiang has reported and found " first flows " in succession Serious disease case. This is second, the third report following the first serious disease case of the report of Guangdong of mid-August. As to this, have only thought, propagate the constant enlargement of the range with the epidemic situation, the high-risk group must be involved, serious disease cases, death cases may present. Has only called upon, all parts should be to present " first flow " There is sober understanding in the epidemic situation. In the epidemic situation is taken precautions against, should learn from big city in the small and medium-sized cities. Strengthen the comprehensive prevention measure to implement, want finding to the case early, early report, isolating for treatment early, and insist that observes medical science to the persons who keep in close touch, in order to reduce the case to the maximum extent and take place, slow down the spread speed of the epidemic situation.

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